Luca Castagnola vs Lilian Marmousez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Who performs better on the second serve in recent months? Castagnola, with a win rate of 46.05%, has outperformed Marmousez, who has won 43.79% of points on the second serve.
• In terms of returning second serves, Castagnola leads, winning 49.07% compared to Marmousez's 42.44%.
• When it comes to returning first serves, Castagnola's success rate is higher at 33.05%, while Marmousez records 27.34%.
• Under pressure, Castagnola has saved more breakpoints (56.31%) than Marmousez (53.96%).
• Although Marmousez has a superior match win percentage (68.42%) over the last year compared to Castagnola's 49.15%.
• Castagnola is stronger on hard courts with a 59% win rate, while Marmousez excels on clay with 63% victories.
• In lower-tier tournaments like Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K, Marmousez has a better win rate of 68.42% compared to Castagnola's 51.11%.
• In their single direct encounter, Marmousez won 2 sets to Castagnola's 1.
• In deciding sets generally, Marmousez has a 50% win rate, stronger than Castagnola's 39% over the past year.
• Against higher-ranked opponents, Marmousez has faced players with an average rank of 372.51, more challenging than Castagnola's opponents with an average rank of 426.19.
• Castagnola converts breakpoints at a rate of 38.12%, making them more effective in this area than Marmousez, who converts 24.79% of opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (June 17, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match presents a compelling battle. Castagnola demonstrates a marginally better performance in second serve and return statistics, suggesting a slight edge in service games.

Under pressure, Castagnola excels in saving breakpoints, which could be decisive against Marmousez, who struggles to capitalize on breakpoint opportunities.

Marmousez's overall better win percentage and recent head-to-head success indicate strong competitive form. Furthermore, Marmousez has been tested against tougher opponents, potentially preparing them to withstand more intense matches.

Considering Castagnola's strength on hard courts and Marmousez's preference for clay, the surface will play a crucial role. However, given Marmousez's superior match play consistency and recent head-to-head win, they are projected to be the favorite in this match.